What is PNHLe? An Interview with Mason Black

As some of our readers might have notice we use a stat called PNHLe. But, what is it?

I recently spoke with PNHLe’s creator, Mason Black. I asked him a few question to clarify what it is. I’d highly recommend downloading his app, and look at some of his great work.

Interview

WM: If you could explain PNHLe in depth, how would you explain it?

MB: Basically, it’s a stat intended to predict future point potential at the NHL level. It uses historical values set by current NHL players in different leagues (at different ages) to build a model to see the best rates at which players are scoring and uses those to determine future potential. A single year can be an anomaly but over time a single prospect starts to create a trend that makes the predictions more accurate.

WM: Do you know who has the highest PNHLe of all-time in terms of prospects?

MB: I’m pretty sure it was (John) Tavares during the year he was deemed the exceptional player status (06-07). Not sure how high but it was around 170.

WM: I believe PNHLe can be used as a fantasy tool, correct?

MB: That was the original intention… As a fantasy tool.

WM: How far does PNHLe go? Like in terms of tracking years?

MB: I only tracked it as far as 2005 I think. Too many changes before the lockout that year. The game changed and the model was way less accurate.

WM: Are there limits of PNHLe? And if so what are those limits?

MB: No limits. However, the younger a player is the less accurate it is.

WM: Last question for you, Has PNHLe surpassed your expectations? From what I understand it was just a fun project you were working on.

MB: I’d say so. It’s starting to pick up some traction which is cool. I even had a player agent ask if he could use it in negotiations for a prospect.

The biggest thing is that it’s not a stat to gauge if a player will make the NHL. Or to compare how good one prospect is compared to another. It’s a stat that says, based on their current production this is what they are expected to produce in their prime at the NHL… If they make it.

WM: I appreciate you taking some time to talk to me about PNHLe! Thanks!

MB: My pleasure.

Conclusion

Just to reiterate, PNHLe is a stat intended to predict the offensive production of a player in their prime. It can also be used as a fantasy tool and is a great stat to use in general for prospects.

special thanks to – Mason Black (Rank King)

extra PNHLe info – PNHLe app and PNHLe explained

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Author: WallMaz

WallMaz is a diehard Chicago Blackhawks fan based in the Greater Chicago Area. He’s very interested in prospects and the NHL draft. In addition, he has his own site where he talk about the Chicago Blackhawks and does mock drafts every month.